Research
Title : | Modelling and forecasting of COVID-19 pandemic |
Area of research : | COVID-19 Research, Life Sciences & Biotechnology, Mathematical Sciences |
Focus area : | Forecast for COVID-19 |
Principal Investigator : | Prof Mahendra Kumar Verma, Indian Institute of Technology (IIT) Kanpur |
Timeline Start Year : | 2020 |
Contact info : | mkv@iitk.ac.in |
Details
Executive Summary : | This project aims to study the suitable epidemic models for COVID-19 and adopt them for Indian conditions, and to simulate COVID-19 spread using Monte Carlo simulation with realistic conditions. |
Outcome/Output: | The model predicts daily cases for India’s COVID-19 on https://covid19-forecast.org. Using SIR model, they have predicted the scenarios of possible third wave using the epidemic parameters of the second wave assuming that India is fully unlocked on 15 July 2021. |
Organizations involved
Implementing Agency : | Indian Institute of Technology (IIT) Kanpur Funding Agency :Department of Science and Technology (DST), Govt of India | |