Research
Title : | Effects of non-pharmaceutical measures on COVID-19 pandemic in India and network-based forecast beyond relaxation of lockdown |
Area of research : | COVID-19 Research, Life Sciences & Biotechnology |
Focus area : | COVID-19 Management |
Principal Investigator : | Dr Surajit Panja, Assistant Professor, Indian Institute of Information Technology (IIT) Guwahati |
Timeline Start Year : | 2020 |
Timeline End Year : | 2020 |
Contact info : | surajit@iiitg.ac.in |
Details
Executive Summary : | This research focuses on understanding the impacts of periodic relaxations and periodic impositions of lockdown, forecast the optimal duration of these lockdowns, and analysing through mathematical model whether it would be possible to achieve disease-free state in the population of the country through non-pharmaceutical measures (NPM) only. |
Outcome/Output: | It was observed that people with various degrees of susceptibilities to social influence based on their current opinion can collectively inhibit the disease spreading by resorting to reaching consensus for adoption of vigilant measures. Sufficient condition for exponential stability of the DFE is obtained and the lower bound of agent V-S (Vigilant- Susceptible) ratio is found out in terms of an agent’s exposed transmission rate, incubation rate, and incoming aggregate physical interactions. |
Organizations involved
Implementing Agency : | Indian Institute of Information Technology (IIT) Guwahati Funding Agency :Department of Science and Technology (DST), Govt of India | |